On the eve of Saturday’s Preakness Stakes, we pose this question.
Who says “nobody remembers who finishes second,”?
Certainly not us at HorseRacingFLA, when it comes to the Triple Crown races since 2014.
We can rattle off the names because we made money on horses at 10-1 or higher that finished second in each of the last three runnings of the Preakness, and in the Kentucky Derby in 2014 and this year.
In the first four of those races we had the winning exacta. In this year’s Kentucky Derby, run on May 6, we put money down and in our published selections recommended Show bets and higher on Lookin at Lee who finished second at 33-1.
Our other long shot second place finishers were:
2014 Kentucky Derby – Commanding Curve, 37-1
2014 Preakness – Ride on Curlin, 10-1
2015 Preakness – Tale of Verve, 28-1
2016 Preakness – Cherry Wine 17-1
Our suggested bets made money in each of the last three runnings of the Preakness. Our combined return on investment (profit) was 51 percent.
This evening, we are starting our serious phase of handicapping for the Preakness (Grade 1). Post time for the race tomorrow is 6:45 p.m. Eastern at Pimlico in Baltimore.
We probably will pick Always Dreaming to win—just as we correctly suggested betting on him to win the Kentucky Derby.
We are looking for a long shot or two to include an exacta box and in the second spot in an exacta part wheel. Those we will consider are Hence, Conquest Mo Money and Multiplier.
There was a downpour late this afternoon at Pimlico. But clear skies are forecast for tomorrow afternoon.
We will factor in the weather—along with the likely pace scenario, post positions and reports we are reading and hearing about which horses might be fresh and which horses might be tired. We also will consider the records of trainers in the Preakness and in other big races.
Check back in with HorseRacingFLA at 11:00 p.m. Eastern tonight, when we will post our next handicapping article.
At approximately 2:00 p.m. Eastern tomorrow, we will publish our Preakness bets on this Web site and on our blog which can be accessed on the menu bar at the top of the home page of this Web site.
In our next article, we will have details about why and how we featured Ride on Curlin, Tale of Verve and Cherry Wine in our Preakness bets. And we will point out how some of those lessons might apply late Saturday afternoon.
So, join us in reading the Past Performances and charts, watching replays and comparing notes with other racing fans. Of course, we are not a wagering or betting site – our information and recommedations are FREE.
Then, take the final step in making your picks — Use the Force.
HorseRacingFLA Seeking to Go Four-for-Four
With Winning Wagers on Preakness Stakes
By Jim Freer, 17 May 2017
This is HorseRacingFLA’s fourth year in handicapping the Preakness Stakes horse race. We are confident that we can make it four-for-four in winning bets and attractive payoffs.
Winning Bets: Our Successful Strategies
For the Preakness in 2014, 2015, and 2016, our recommended wagers produced a combined return on investment (profit) of 51 percent.
In each of those races, HorseRacingFLA’s bets made a profit of at least 40 percent. Over the three races, we recommended $156.00 in bets. The bets paid a total of $234.95.
Our winning bets included the exacta and trifecta in 2014, the high-priced exacta in 2015, and the exacta and trifecta in 2016.
Follow these links for more details and our stories on our wagers for the ’14, ’15, and ’16 Preakness races.
2014 – 2014 Preakness Wagers
2015 – 2015 Preakness Wagers
2016 – 2016 Preakness Wagers
2017 Preakness Stakes Update
Note — All times listed below are Eastern Daylight.
Post positions for the Preakness will be drawn at 5:00 p.m. on Wednesday. The race will be on Saturday at Pimlico in Baltimore. Scheduled post time is 6:45 p.m.
HorseRacingFLA will publish our recommended Preakness bets between 2:00 p.m. and 3:00 p.m. on Saturday.
This will allow us to factor in track conditions and any late news, while giving readers ample time to include our selections in their bets.
Prior to Saturday, HorseRacingFLA will explore handicapping angles in several exciting Preakness previews.
Check out our Thursday edition for “Hedging Strategy Success,” a special article which will provide successful hedging strategies that we use in handicapping.
The 2015 Preakness is one example. We will explain how we hit an exacta that paid $62.20 on a $1.00 bet—with the 9-10 favorite American Pharoah winning, and 28-1 shot Tale of Verve coming in second.
Kentucky Derby Winnings
HorseRacingFLA also has a winning record in handicapping the Kentucky Derby.
Our recommended Kentucky Derby bets made a profit in 2014, 2015, and 2016.
In this year’s Derby, we had Win and Show bets on Always Dreaming, the favorite who won the race, and a Show bet on Lookin at Lee, the 32-1 shot, who finished second. We did not have the correct order in our exacta or trifecta bets.
The result was that our $89.50 in recommended wagers paid $81.00. Despite that minor loss, HorseRacingFLA still have a cumulative profit of 47 percent for the last four Kentucky Derbys.
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TAMPA BAY DOWNS SELECTIONS
By Bob Bauer
Tampa Bay Down’s Spring Racing Meet ended May 7th. Racing will resume for the 2-day Summer festival on Friday, June 30th. Have a great summer, and we’ll be back up here the week of June 26th.
Each Saturday, veteran racing writer and handicapper Bob Bauer makes his selections for Tampa Bay Downs.
Here are Bob’s picks for Saturday, May 6, First post is 12:25 p.m. for the ten-race card
TAMPA BAY DOWNS SELECTIONS
By BOB BAUER
RACE 1 7 Furlongs Claiming $8,000 NW3L
#4 LISTEN TO MAMA- Came back running for Dale Bennett after 1 yr. absence.
#7 MO TOWN KAT- Ran second last two races this distance. Gonzalez stays on.
#6 MISS WATERBUG- Lightly raced sophomore filly might improve here.
RACE 2 5.5 Furlongs Claiming $5,000 NW2 6m
#1 MELODY POMEROY- Has been freshened for this.
#3 ARTICULATE- Won last time, might repeat.
#5 APACHE QUEEN- Woke up last race, Gomez rides again.
RACE 3 8 ½ Furlongs Turf Maiden Claiming $16,000
#3 SAENGER- Placed last try this level, can graduate today.
#4 DIGITAL DIVA- Gets new rider, improved last time on grass.
#9 GONE to DIXIE- Looks the best of the rest.
RACE 4 6 Furlongs Claiming $10,000
#1 DOODLE HOOPER- Was a beaten favorite last time, can make amends.
#6 BIG AWESOME- Makes second start for Bennett/Gonzalez combo, 26% winners this season.
#7 WILD WINTER- Earned big figure beating lesser last race.
RACE 5 5 ½ Furlongs Maiden Claiming $16,000
#3 SALTY KINDA DOG- Might be the one to catch.
#1 SNOKIN BEAU- Gerald Bennett wins 29% with Maiden Claiming firsters.
#4 LOUIE’S HIGHWAY- Has been away 3 months, gets in light.
RACE 6 8 ½ Furlongs Turf Allowance $22,500 NW1X
#8 TUTTI SANNO- Tried stakes company last time, fits better with these.
#5 THORNTON- Has won 3 in a row for champ conditioner Gerald Bennett.
#2 OUSBY- May have needed last race after 10 month hiatus.
RACE 7 8 Furlongs Turf Claiming $10,000 NW2L
#7 HIDE and STREET- Faces condition claimers for the first time.
#5 MY GAL LOLLIPOP- Gulfstream shipper could be trouble.
#3 PROMISCOUS FORCE- Worth a look at 20-1.
RACE 8 7 Furlongs Maiden Claiming $8,000
#4 LADY GREGORIA- Just missed last race, give her one more chance.
#9 KENNESAW RECRUIT- Sharp now, bullet work 4/30, 3 furlongs 35.2.
#7 SORPION DANCER- Should hit the board.
RACE 9 8.5 Furlongs Turf Maiden $22,500
#8 COLLECTIONS CHOICE- Will take some beating, from barn of ace turf trainer Christoph Clement.
#5 GENAU- Has been in the money last 3 starts on the sod.
#2 HINT of MARY- Not out of this.
RACE 10 8 Furlongs Turf Claiming $10,000
#4 LEFT FOOT SLEWIE- Gave notice last race, comes back in 6 days. Gonzalez gets on.
#8 RIZWAN- Has disappointed last pair of races, can do better. #3 SENOR HABANERO- Speedster may try to steal this.
BOB’S BEST BET- RACE 9 #8 COLLECTIONS CHOICE
TAMPA BAY DOWNS SELECTIONS
By BOB BAUER
RACE 1 6 Furlongs Maiden Claiming $25,000
#4 SPACTACULARWARRIOR- Can graduate today for Kathleen O’Connell and Wilmer Garcia, 18% winners together this season.
#7 MAGIC SPARKLE- Has shown good form last pair, after 13 month hiatus. Turnback to 6 furlongs helps.
#1 WITHJUSTASPLASH- Woke up last race for top Trainer Gerald Bennett.
RACE 2 7 Furlongs Optional Claiming $75,000
#3 RRUNTOPERFECTION- Comes back in 8 days, moves up and stretches out for Bennett and Gonzalez, 29% winners together in Tampa.
#6 ROMANTIC MUSIC- Sharp last pair on lawn, can do on dirt.
#1 LIVIN a DREAM- Has been facing stakes foes lately, should improve here.
RACE 3 5 ½ Furlongs Claiming $12,500 NW2L
#9 SPOONJAR JARSPOON- Appears to be the fastest here, would be no surprise.
#7 REFUSEING- Shows 5 good local works after 221 days away. Sammy Comacho rides for Teresa Connelly, winning at a 27% clip together in Oldsmar.
#6 STORMY LEAF- Beat $8K Maiden Claimers last time, Centeno stays aboard.
RACE 4 8 Furlongs Turf Maiden Claiming $16,000
#2 FRIENDS TALKS- Might get loose in a slow field.
#10 PRINCESS ROSE- Will be in the fight, likes the lawn.
#7 THAT’S ANGELINA- Gets blinkers on today. Top jock retains mount.
RACE 5 Mile 40yd. Claiming $8,000 NW2L
#2- CRITICAL HUMOR- Claiming price cut ½. Centeno gets on.
#3 ROSEANNA- Moves down 2 classes, tries dirt for the first time.
#9 GERMAINES ROSE- Consistent competitor, should be in the money.
RACE 6 5 Furlongs Turf Claiming $16,000
#3 SHEZA RULER- Makes first start for new connections. Ward and Ferrer 42% together.
#1 ANGEL HAZE- Likes turf, can sprint. Bullet work 4/19, 4 furlongs 47.1
#2 MAST COVE- Gets class relief here, don’t overlook.
RACE 7 6 Furlongs Maiden Claiming $8,000
#7 COULD IT BE ME- Should graduate here vs. weak field. Second start for Keith Nations (24%).
#5 FLATTERONI- Improved last race, first try this level.
#10 WILD LIL’ KITTEN- Has been freshened since December. Longshot possibility.
RACE 8 8 Furlongs Turf Claiming $16,000
#8 RIZAN- Ran ok first try on local lawn, earned good grass figs in Miami. Red-hot turf rider Jose Ferrer gets on for Dennis Ward, 42% winners together.
#6 TRIBAL MESSAGE- Was a prompt favorite vs. $10K stock. Should handle raise, champ Centeno on.
#5 ALLIES EVENT- Hard hitting, eleven-year-old gelding always gives an honest effort.
RACE 9 5 Furlongs Turf Maiden Claiming $25,000
#3 MATHILDESTREVENUE- Showed speed in bow with Maiden Special rivals, drops into claiming company. Top jock Centeno on for ace turf conditioner Delacour.
#8 SECRET RECIPE- Tries claimers for clever (29%) Reid Nagel outfit. Seven-year-old mare gets 1st Lasix.
#10 MOONSHINE CAFE- Suspicious New York shipper ran ok in grass sprints at Belmont and Saratoga. Comes off 6 month freshening the last week of the meet.
BOB’S BEST BET- RACE 7 #7 COULD IT ME
Tampa Bay Downs Selections
Saturday April 22, 2017
By Bob Bauer
RACE 1 5 Furlongs Turf Maiden Claiming $25,000
#3 MILL HILL PLACE- Speedster should like the distance, has ok turf numbers. Bullet work on 4/5, 3 furlongs 36.2.
#8 KING STORMY- Drops in from Gulfstream. Top rider Centeno gets on.
#5 HALLSTEIN- Improved last race with first-time blinkers. Could surprise at a price.
RACE 2 7 Furlongs Claiming $6,250
#1 ONE FOR DON- Sharp now for Mandy Ness, 26% winners this season. Bullet work on 4/18, 5 Furlongs in 1 minute flat.
#2 CALEB’S COMET- Has been racing against better, moves down 2 levels after a 48 day break.
#5 MOONLIT METEOR- Should appreciate drop from $10K foes, will be coming late.
RACE 3 7 Furlongs Maiden Claiming $16,000
#4 COULD IT BE ME- Missed by a head in first dirt sprint vs. similar.
#3 KNOCK EM OUT ROY- Hot jockey Gonzalez rides for top Bennett barn. 29% winners together.
#6 RANDY SR.- Woke up last outing with Ron Allen Jr. in the irons. Fits with these.
RACE 4 5 1/2 Furlongs Maiden Claiming $25,000
#7 CALIFORNIA COTTON- Makes first start after being claimed by Gerald Bennett. 26% success.
#6 AVENTINE HILL- Has 8 local works for Tampa debut, first-time Lasix.
#1 PANGI- In for a first tag and Lasix. Veteran Jose Ferrer has the mount.
RACE 5 8 Furlongs Turf Optional Claiming $62,500 NW3X
#5 COWGIRL TOUGH- Lost last try by a neck at this distance, can make amends today. Champ Centeno stays on for boss trainer Bennett.
#1 GREY STARK- Comes off 148 day hiatus, runs well fresh. Conditioner Johnathan Thomas wins 18% with new horses.
#3 LAUR NET- Has been rested for 3 ½ months, logged 4 ok drills over track. New pilot Ron Allen Jr. takes over this stout closer
RACE 6 8 Furlongs Turf Claiming $16,000 NW3L
#6 PATIENT DIGNA- Has the best turf figs, Centeno gets aboard.
#2 IMAGINE IF- Ran ½ length behind top choice, figures to be close.
#1 MIGHTY MINI- Speedy, gets inside post, Bennett and Gonzalez may try to steal this.
RACE 7 6 ½ Furlongs Maiden Claiming $8,000
#7 LADY GREGORIA- Might graduate here vs. weak field.
#9 LOUISIANAHOTSAUCE- Moves down 2 classes for Bobby Raymond (25%). Gonzalez rides.
#12- DEVOUT TYPE- Drops from $25K company for powerful (24%) Dale Bennett outfit. Blinkers on, bullet work on 4/15, 3 furlongs 35.3.
RACE 8 8 Furlongs Turf Claiming $25,000 NW2L
#5 BOLD RESPONSE- Moves up after gate-to-wire score, could repeat here. Trainer Joe Minieri wins with 33% of runners after a maiden victory.
#4 WILD POISON- Tries condition claimers for the first time, after rough trip with open claiming rivals.
#10 CHASING THE STARS- Gets class relief here. Improvement expected.
RACE 9 8 ½ Furlongs Turf Claiming $16,000 NW3L
#4 CRIMSON HAYES- Just missed last time at one mile. Added distance should help.
#1 SABBATARIAN- Centeno gets on for George Leonard. Needs fast pace to aid closing kick.
#10 POINT ROLL- Speedy Miami shipper could be trouble if left alone early.
BOB’S BEST BET- RACE 1 #3 MILL HILL PLACE
Tampa Bay Downs Selections
Saturday, April 15 2017
By Bob Bauer
RACE 1 Mile 40yd. Claiming $5,000 NW1 6m
#7 DISQUALIFIED- Makes first start for new connections. Rider Pablo Morales and trainer Darien Rodriguez are 4 for 5 together in Tampa this season.
#6 MISS BLOOMFIELD HIGH- A consistent runner, should be in the money.
#3 MISS POW WOW- Gets top jockey Centeno today.
RACE 2 8 Furlongs Turf Claiming $25,000
#5 R WAY to ESCAPE- Beat similar this trip 2 races back. Can do here for leading trainer Gerald Bennett.
#7 NAIFAH- Likes to run second, should hit the board.
#4 HIDE and STREET- Scored a nice Maiden win on local grass despite troubled start.
RACE 3 5 ½ Furlongs Maiden Claiming $25,000
#6 MILL HILL PLACE- A tough customer from the powerful Bennett barn.
#4 EURO EXCHANGE- Races second time for Mike Dini (25%) and moves down into claiming company. Has 8 works for comeback after 486 day absence.
#1 SMART ANSWER- Appears to be the best of the rest.
RACE 4 8 Furlongs Turf Optional Claiming $40,000
#8 YES I SEE- Speedy grey gelding might take some catching here.
#6 CAMMACK- Drops in after taking $60K Stake at Gulfstream. Likes Tampa turf, Centeno rides for Block.
#4 BERN’ JAMES BERN- Was claimed by able trainer Keith Nations (24% winners this season). Shows a pair of good workouts since last race.
RACE 5 6 Furlongs Optional Claiming $12,500
#1 TANGO LIMA- Hard-hitting filly had won 6 in a row prior to last race. Can resume winning ways today.
#7 ODESSA WIND- Has taken last pair of starts against lesser. Ron Allen Jr. retains the mount.
#8 CHIQUE to CHIQUE- Longshot could upset on turn-back. Has won at 7 panels.
RACE 6 5 Furlongs Turf Claiming $16,000 NW3L
#1 FRONTPAGE BOLDTYPE- Displayed sharp early foot in first sprint over lawn.
#8 BENNY is a JET- Has been away from the races almost 2 years. Can win here if ready.
#3 BLACK STASH- Likes local sod, can sprint. Not out of this.
RACE 7 7 Furlongs Claiming $8,000 NW2L
#1 ATTACK ZONE- Turns back to a sprint after 8 length route romp vs. Maiden claimers this level.
#11 RATTLESDEN- Just missed by a neck last time. Gonzalez rides for DeCosta, winning at 40% together.
#2 GONE ASTRAY KISS- Likes the distance, Centeno gets back on for 16% conditioner Derek Ryan.
RACE 8 8 Furlongs Turf Maiden $22,500
#7 REALISM- Earned top fig over turf with blinkers on for Bill Mott, 19% winners this season. Should continue to go forward.
#3 THRICE- Turf debut with Maiden claimers was bang-up. Might handle raise today.
#2 RED CURL- Son of Curlin showed big improvement last time, been freshened for 2 months. Champion rider Centeno on for veteran trainer Roy Lerman.
RACE 9 8 Furlongs Turf Claiming $10,000
#7 SCORPION ALY- Has the speed to go gate to wire for 21% trainer Mandy Ness. Hot jock Gonzalez stays aboard.
#3 LOON RIVER- Might have best grass figs in this field, should be running late.
#6 GOING BOLD- Will be in the fight. Leading rider Centeno gets on for John Rigattieri, 22% winners in Tampa.
BOB’S BEST BET- RACE 9 #7 SCORPION ALY
Saturday, April 8, 2015
RACE 1 5 ½ Furlongs Claiming $8,000 NW3L
#1 GUCCIGUCCIGIRL- In good form for able trainer John Vinson. Wins 21% with new stock.
#3 TALENT and GRACE- Showed decent speed in comeback after 2 ½ years away.
#4 LISTEN to MAMA- Won 2 in a row before 1 year vacation. Logged a dozen drills for Dale Bennett.
RACE 2 6 ½ Furlongs Maiden Claiming $25,000
#1 AVENDESORA- Drops into a claimer and gets first time Lasix for Delacour. Has 5 local works.
#6 DYIN for DEZI- Training well for debut. O’Connell/Allen Jr. winning at 27% this season.
#7 DEW- Not bad in only lifetime race at Aqueduct. Has trained 8 times over track for comeback after a 12 month break, races with Lasix for the first time.
RACE 3 Mile 40yd Claiming $8,000
#2 LOOKING AT BEAUTY- Makes first start for the Carrasco barn, 27% success after a claim.
#6 BELLINA LADY- Moves to lowest level after a 2 month freshening. Should improve.
#3 CANDY WAR- Edwin Gonzalez gets on for new conditioner Bobby Raymond, 21% winners after a claim.
RACE 4 7 Furlongs Maiden Claiming $8,000
#6 KIWANDA- Moves into the Connelly stable (22% wins first start) and goes down 2 classes.
#5 ZARLEEZA- Ran ok to get the show dough after a 2 year absence. Can continue to move forward.
#2 CAN’T STEAL MY JOY- Runs for first tag and gets first Lasix after being away almost 2 years. Tries dirt after showing speed on an artificial surface in only lifetime start.
RACE 5 8 Furlongs Turf Maiden Claiming $16,000
#5 MOJO RISING- Has had many chances, owns best back turf figs in weak field. Might graduate today.
#6 SALSAFORALL- Fresh now for the Bennett/Gonzalez combo, 27% winners together.
#3 HALLSTEIN- Drops in first claimer, gets blinkers on. Might upset at a price.
RACE 6 8 Furlongs Turf Allowance $22,500 NW1X
#2 TETHER to REALITY- Had bad luck in turf bow, could bounce back here. Turn-back should help.
#7 MAP ROOM- Blinkers on for this consistent runner from the red-hot (35% winners) Proctor outfit. Ron Allen Jr. retains the mount.
#3 RAPO- Only one in here with multiple grass victories. Don’t overlook.
RACE 7 7 Furlongs Claiming $16,000 NW2L
#2 MIGHTY MINI- Finished 1st vs. open company $16K claimers, was D.Q. Faces condition claimers today. Blinkers on for top trainer Gerald Bennett, Sammy Camacho rides, 29% together.
#3 SOUTHERN PERFECTION- Has tried better, gets class relief today. Back sprinting on dirt, conditioner Joe Arboritanza wins 24% turning back form a route.
#6 SUMMERTIME GAL- Ran ok last pair of route races on the lawn. Likes dirt, goes 7 panels today. Gonzalez gets on, 22% winners.
RACE 8 8 ½ Furlongs Turf Claiming $16,000
#8 CALICO KITTEN- May be the one to catch. Veteran rider Jose Ferrer on for Kathleen Demasi, they are winning at a 60% clip in Oldsmar.
#4 THORNTON- Is 2 for 2 with blinkers back on. Tries open company here, top jock Centeno stays on the 7-year-old gelding.
#2 ORE PASS- Tries turf after being claimed by Mandy Ness (27%). Bullet work 4/1, 5 furlongs .59 flat.
RACE 9 5 Furlongs Turf Optional Claiming $32,000 NW2X
#6 PINK MAMA- Appears to be in fine fettle now, has won pair of dirt sprints for the powerful Bennett barn. Can run on the lawn.
#2 COUSIN CLAIRE- California shipper has been away for 14 months. Bullet gate work 4/2, 3 furlongs 36.2. Has good breeding for speed and weeds.
#1 PHYLLIS ANN- Turf-loving veteran mare has won this trip 7 times. Will be in the fight.
RACE 10 5 ½ Furlongs Maiden Claiming $12,500
#6 STORMY LEAF- Ran well to show in comeback race after a 7 month hiatus. Gets blinkers and hot jock Gonzalez on today.
#4 KNOCK EM OUT ROY- Woke up last race at 6 furlongs, turns back today. Camacho stays on, winning at a 29% rate for Gerald Bennett.
#9 PRINCE HUGGINS- Miami shipper has claiming price cut ½. Blinkers back on, gets leading rider Centeno.
BOB’S BEST BET- RACE 7 #2 MIGHTY MINI
TAMPA BAY DOWNS SELECTIONS
By Bob Bauer
RACE 1 7 Furlongs Maiden Claiming $16,000
#5 LYONS BAY VISTA- Drops 2 classes for Ian Wilkes, wins 44% with this move. Also races with Lasix for the first time.
#6 GALAXIA- Back on main track after a pair of grass races, only dirt try was ok. Edwin Gonzalez retains the mount for Tim Padilla.
#3 BRIDGE of SIGHS- Gets blinkers on for veteran conditioner Roy Lerman, 33% success. Lightly raced filly can improve here.
RACE 2- 6 Furlongs SPRINT STAKES $100,000
#2 EARLY ENTRY- Faced Grade III foes last time, won 3 races straight before that. Can do here, Ron Allen Jr. rides for Kathleen O’Connell, 27% winners together.
#3 TIGER BLOOD- Comes off win in local Pelican Stakes, 3 works since. Has 4 wins in 6 Tampa starts.
#4 DELTA BLUESMAN- Versatile Graded Stakes winner capable of upset. Jose Ortiz on for Jorge Navarro.
RACE 3 7 Furlongs Starter Allowance $25,000
#4 MARTINI GLASS- Came back running to score by 5 lengths after 5 months away. Could take another, worked a bullet 4 furlongs in 46.2 on 3/29.
#6 INDIAN CHASER- 3 for 3 at seven panels, throw out last route try. Top notch connections, Ron Allen Jr. and Gerald Bennett.
#3 TANGO LIMA- Has taken 6 races in a row. 3 for 3 in Tampa. Can’t dismiss.
RACE 4 9 Furlongs TURF CLASSIC $100,000
#1 GO AROUND- Won this event last year for Bill Mott. Fresh now, has logged 7 works since January.
#4 WORLD APPROVAL- Grade I winner is 1 for 1 on Tampa lawn. Been away since Oct., can boss these if ready. Has won after a lay-off in the past.
#6 ACT of MADNESS- Came to life last race at 15 to 1 for Speith and O’Connell, 20% winners together.
RACE 5 7 Furlongs SOPHOMORE STAKES $100,000
#4 CLASSIC COTTON- Earned big fig in Maiden win at Gulfstream. A repeat takes this.
#5 MO CASH- Boasts a perfect 2 for 2 record. Bay gelding will take some beating.
#1 THE COOKIE MAN- Maybe a horse for the course. 3 wins, 1 place in four tries in Tampa.
RACE 6 8 Furlongs Turf Optional Claiming $75,000 NW1X
#9 MO JUSTICE- Drops back after Grade III attempt at Gulfstream, should be able to nail the speed. Jose Ortiz and Christophe Clement are winning at a 60% rate this season.
#4 ZUZANNA- Top local jock Dan Centeno gets on for world-class turf trainer Graham Motion.
#10 ROMANTIC MUSIC- Nice win last race over Tampa turf. Might have a future on the green.
RACE 7- 7 Furlongs Maiden $22,500
#7 JAGR-Showed in first lifetime start behind a next-out winner. Gets blinkers on for Tony Margotta, 43% success.
#8 SITEENPARKSIDELANE- Gets top fig for 6 ½ furlong try. Should handle seven panels. Bennett/Gonzalez combo winning at 29%.
#1 INDIAN SONG- Well prepped by Keith Nations (24%). Sophomore gelding has worked 9 times since January , last 3 drills hint at ability.
RACE 8 8 ½ Furlongs Turf SOPHOMORE TURF STAKES $100,000
#6 IN CLOSING- Earned top turf and late pace figs in 4 length Gulfstream win, first grass try. Trainer Clement scores at a 30% clip in the second grass race. May show more.
#4 SQUADRON- Is 2 for 2 against Florida-breds. Pletcher winning at 36% in Tampa.
#7 MUGGSAMATIC- Loves the lawn, has potent connections. Allen Jr. and O’Connell score at 27%.
RACE 9 7 Furlongs SOPHOMORE FILLIES STAKES $100,000
#7 R ANGEL KATELYN-Has won 4 out 5 sprints for Gerald Bennett, comes back from 50-day break after dull route attempt. Shows 3 decent local works.
#3 YES I’LL GO- Drops in from Miami after facing Grade II company. Castellano rides.
#5 SADIE BE GOOD- Should be leading early, will have to hold off top choices.
RACE 10 8 ½ Furlongs Turf DISTAFF TURF STAKES $100,000
#1 MY GIRL COREY- A tough customer from the Chad Brown outfit. Has pair of best turf figures.
#5 ROYAL JEWELY- Bennett and Gonzalez might steal this. Early speed is dangerous on the sod lately.
#7 QUALITY ROCKS- Won Grade III Florida Oaks here in 2015. Regular jock Lezcano rides for Mott.
RACE 11 8 Furlongs Turf Claiming $25,000 NW2L
#1 CINCY BELLE- Has an edge here for Delacour and Leparoux.
#5 RENEE’S CAT- Almost beat open claimers 2 races back. Might surprise these.
#6 ANY GIVEN TRACE- Has been close for Allen Jr. and Proctor. Will be coming late.
RACE 12 6 Furlongs Claiming $8,000 NW2L
#4 ABIDE by ME- Moves down to face condition claimers for the first time. Trainer Bill Sienkewicz and rider Ademar Santos are winning at 38% this season.
#7 TOLL the BELL- Woodbine shipper tries dirt, Gonzalez gets on.
#12 RATTLESDEN- Looks to be the best of the rest.
BOB’S BEST BET- Race 8 #6 IN CLOSING
TAMPA BAY DOWNS SELECTIONS
By BOB BAUER
RACE 1 8 ½ Furlongs Claiming $16,000
#4 MISS HIGH TIDE-In a good spot for top trainer Gerald Bennett. The one to catch here.
#3 REGAL HEIRESS- Moves up off strong Maiden win, Gonzalez stays on.
#1 COAX- Has best late pace, should be closing on early leaders.
RACE 2 7 Furlongs Claiming $8,000 NW2L
#4 ETERNAL TEMPEST- Tag cut in half, tries condition claiming foes today.
#1 TWOFOUR SIX OH ONE- Turns back from a pair of ok route races. Has had many chances this level.
#6 DOLLY MAE- Likes the distance, gets new pilot.
RACE 3 6 ½ Furlongs Claiming $5,000 NW2 6m
#5 R QUICK TEMPER- Makes first start after being claimed by the Robillard outfit (26%). Ron Allen Jr. on.
#4 GUCHI GOLD- Has been sharp this season, dangerous back in sprint.
#3 IM MONEYINTHEBANK- New member of the Padilla stable, 25% success after a claim.
RACE 4 Mile 40yd. Claiming $8,000 NW3L
#3 GREAT HARBOR CAY- Going well now. May be the lone speed, can get loose on the lead.
#2 TEN GUITARS- Might improve for new connections. Ray Trisler scores at a 20% rate after a claim.
#7 PERSIAN POET- Placed vs. this kind last race. Should be in the fight.
RACE 5 8 ½ Furlongs Turf Claiming $16,000 NW3L
#4 UNWAVERING FAITH- Speedy filly is bred for turf. Bullet work 3/23, 4 furlongs .48 flat.
#1 KERFLUFFLE- Drops into claiming company for the 1st time. Won grassy Ohio-bred stakes last year.
#5 FIRST EMBRACE- Has best local turf figs. Don’t overlook
RACE 6 6 ½ Furlongs Maiden $22,500
#9 BISTRO- Four-year-old filly placed in debut for red-hot (34%) Proctor barn, 6 works since. Ron Allen Jr. takes the reins.
#5 OUT of MY WAY- Appears ready for lifetime bow. Four-year-old Miss has logged 8 well-planned drills since early February, Leandro Goncalves rides for able trainer Bill Bradley.
#2 DERVAL- Throw out last race around 2 turns. This one can sprint and is eligible to bounce back. Morales stays aboard for O’Connell.
RACE 7 5 Furlongs Turf Maiden $22,500
#10 MATHILDESTREVENUE- Has top sire and dam turf numbers here. Makes first turf attempt for ace grass trainer Arnaud Delacour, scores 20% with first-timers.
#3 MY GIRL’S SUCCESS- Five-year-old mare is bred top and bottom to run on the sod. Might be a lawn mower. Veteran jock Spieth rides for conditioner Minieri, they have 2 wins from 4 tries this season.
#4 ANIMAUXSELLE- Tries the weeds after running a not-bad third at 6 panels. Might go forward off that effort, has ok turf numbers.
RACE 8 6 Furlongs Maiden Claiming $8,000
#6 DIAMOND RUSH- Claiming price is cut 50% by smart barn. Reid Nagle wins 40% with this move.
#9 SATURDAY FUN- Placed last pair vs. similar. Should be in the money.
#4 QUICK COCONUT- Woke up last race with Jose Ferrer in the irons. He’s back today, can run big again.
RACE 9 8 Furlongs Turf Optional Claiming $32,000 NW2X
#5 HAMMERSTEIN- Has early foot, turf has been kind to speedy types lately. Ron Allen Jr. on.
#9 PATRICK’S DAY- Been on sidelines since January, won here fresh last season. 3 local works in March.
#1 OUSBY- Away since June, has good back class and turf figs. Blinkers off, inside post can help.
RACE 10 8 Furlongs Turf Maiden Claiming $16,000
#8 SIMPLY TIZWAY- Ran 2d at 8 ½ furlongs. Probable early leader may steal this at a mile.
#4 NIGHT GALLERY- Gets blinkers on, could challenge the top choice.
#5 AMERICAN COTTON- Trouble-prone gelding needs a clean trip to be a factor.
BOB’S BEST BET- RACE 6 #9 BISTRO
TAMPA BAY DOWNS SELECTIONS
Saturday March 25, 2017
By Bob Bauer
RACE 1 Mile 40yd. Claiming $5,000 NW2 6m
#7 ROUNDUPTHELUTE- Drops down 2 classes for top trainer Gerald Bennett. Wins 27% with this move.
#6 TEMPIETTO- Earned best lifetime figure last race at this level. Would be no surprise.
#1 TO the STARS- In good form now, appears to be best of the rest.
RACE 2 8 Furlongs Turf Maiden Claiming $16,000
#6 BIG BAD KITTY- Lightly raced colt showed in first turf try, should benefit from that experience. Edwin Gonzalez stays on for Gerald Bennett, 23% winners together.
#4 LITTLE CRISTIAN- Sophomore has faced better, gets tag cut ½ today. Ron Allen Jr. has the mount.
#7 STADIUM- Was dull last out for new barn at the $32K level. Placed in only try against $16K foes, such as today. Could rebound.
RACE 3 6 Furlongs Claiming $12,500
#6 MEDIA TIME- Makes first start after being claimed by Mandy Ness (23%). Local bullet works on 3/7 and 3/18.
#4 HAYWIRED- Turns back after going seven panels for new connections. Feliciano outfit scoring at 29% on the second outing after a claim.
#5 HONEST FIGHT- Just claimed by smart (29%) barn. Bocachica/Rigattieri combo clicking at 36%.
RACE 4 7 Furlongs Maiden Claiming $16,000
#4 WITHJUSTASPLASH- Edwin Gonzalez (23%) gets on for Gerald Bennett. Improvement expected.
#6 UNASSUMING- Showed little in pair of turf events with $32K company. Moves down to the $16K level and tries dirt for Tom Proctor and Ron Allen Jr.
#9 INVASORS WIND- Drops in from Miami for first claiming tag.
RACE 5 5 Furlongs Turf Claiming $16,000 NW3L
#9 TRIBAL DRAMA- Has best early foot, should take to the sod.
#6 POLYGRAM- A live longshot, ran a fast six furlongs on dirt two races back. Has won on the weeds.
#5 PAUL REIFF- 3 for 4 in the money at this distance. Bullet work 3/11, 4 furlongs 47.4.
RACE 6 6 Furlongs Optional Claiming $16,000 NW1X
#2 MEMORIES of WINTER- Four-year-old gelding went 2 for 2 earlier this season with Edwin Gonzalez in the irons. Red-hot jockey is back on today, expect top effort.
#5 PACIFIC IMAGE- A tough customer, has won 4 in a row. Makes first start for Dale Bennett, 21% winners after a claim.
#1 DOODLE HOPPER- Never out of the money in Tampa. In good form now.
RACE 7 8 Furlongs Turf Claiming $16,000
#6 RIZWAN- Gulfstream invader makes first start for Dale Bennett, who scores at 20% with shippers. Leading jock Centeno rides.
#3 HELM- Veteran gelding has been a bit camera-shy in his career (4 wins in 30 races). However, he just missed by a nose in his last turf try at this level and merits consideration in this spot.
#4 HERE’S JOHNNY- Likes Tampa, in fine fettle now. Conditioner Darien Rodriguez and rider Pablo Morales currently boast a 50% rate of success.
RACE 8 Mile 40yd. Claiming $6,250.
#6 MOONSTONE BEACH- Has taken last pair of route races vs. similar company.
#3 CANDY WAR- Lost by a neck to top choice, last race. Could make amends today.
#8 STATLEY DEFENCE- Moves up off nice victory against lesser. Can do at this level.
RACE 9 11 Furlongs Turf Handicap $16,000
#4 IMPROMTU- Comes off solid prep win over Tampa turf at 9 furlongs. Only runner here with a win at today’s distance.
#7 FOXHALL DRIVE- Lost by only a neck to the top choice, not out of this.
#8- DIAZ- Always runs well in Oldsmar, leading rider Centeno back on.
RACE 10 5 1/2 Furlongs Maiden Claiming $25,000
#12 JAMMIN GEMI- Drops down (first time claiming) and turns back for trainer Wayne Mogge, 12% winners this season.
#9 DEVOUT TYPE- Has been well prepped by Dale Bennett, who wins with 23% of Maiden claimers. Sophomore filly has logged a dozen workouts since November.
#11 SHEZAWAVE- May have needed last race, gets class relief. Could wake up in her second start after a 3 month lay-off.
BOB’S BEST BET- RACE 9 #4 IMPROMPTU
TAMPA BAY DOWNS SELECTIONS
By BOB BAUER
First Post 12:25 p.m.
RACE 1 5 ½ Furlongs Clm. $5,000 NW1 6m
#2 Ms HOOCHIE COOHIE- Drops down 2 classes for Jason DeCosta. Wins 25% with this move.
#6 MADDYMAX- Ran a good second last race, vs. similar
#4 MY LITTLE DARLINGS- A speedy threat, local bullet work on 3/13, 3 furlongs 36.2.
RACE 2 7 Furlongs Claiming $8,000 NW3L
#2 MACH TRIAL- Can get the right trip behind a speed duel. Likes the distance.
#4 LEROI’S THRILL- Sharp now, tries 7 panels again.
#3 STRING PUPPET- Fits with these, should be in the money.
RACE 3 5 ½ Furlongs Claiming $16,000 NW2L
#2 JUST a NIP- Faces condition claiming company for the first time.
#3 ZOEY D- Has been second last pair of starts at 6 furlongs. Turnback helps here.
#1 LEADING YOU ON- Ran ok after 5-month vacation. Speith/Gogas combo scoring at 40%.
RACE 4 6 Furlongs Claiming $8,000 NW2L
#5 ELUSIVE SPEED- Has early foot, gets blinkers on for Mandy Ness. 29 % winners this season.
#7 MEXICANA- Showed big improvement last race, may have late pace advantage.
#4 ONCEABOUTADREAM- Has been a beaten favorite last 4 times out.
RACE 5 8 ½ Furlongs Turf Mdn. Clm. $16,000
#4 AUGUSTO B- Ran second last time, despite a troubled trip. Ron Allen Jr. stays aboard.
#7 ZORTEC- Turned in a good effort in comeback, after 1 year away.
#5 BITE the BIT- Ran 1 length behind top pick, is prone to gate problems.
RACE 6 8 ½ Furlongs Turf Allowance $22,500 NW1X
#9 SIGNAL RIDGE- Won on Tampa Turf, first lawn attempt. Might have a future on the weeds.
#8 RED ZONE- Going well now for Rhone and Butler, don’t overlook.
#10 CRIMSON HAYES- Top jock Centeno gets on for Brenda McCarthy.
RACE 7 6 ½ Furlongs Claiming $12,500
#3 DON’TSTOP THEPARTY- In a good spot (top fig here) for Mandy Ness and Edwin Gonzalez. 36% winners together.
#6 MAMA SPLASH- The one to catch, 6 ½ furlongs may be a bit too far.
#5 THEALAKASCRAFTYGIRL- Bocachica rides this one for Rigattieri the first time. Winning at a 33% clip now.
RACE 8 8 Furlongs Turf Opt. Clm. $40,000
#8 SPEED GAME- Beat this kind 2 races back, tried $75K stock last. Can win here for the powerful Proctor barn, 34% winners this season.
#2 NICE NOT NICE- Only missed by a neck in first grass start. Bullet work on 3/11, 5 furlongs 1:00.4.
#5 WILD THING- Longshot might surprise. In for a tag for the 1st time.
RACE 9 6 ½ Furlongs Mdn. Clm. $16,000
#3 KENNESAW RECRUIT- Made a good effort to place 2 races back, at this level. Met $25K routers last, now is back where she belongs. Castenon stays.
#8 MY GEMA- Lightly raced filly has Claiming price cut ½. Blinkers on today. Might improve here.
#5 THIG AR LATHA- First time starter for live barn with debut runners. Hendry outfit has 1 win, 1 place from 2 attempts.
RACE 10 5 Furlongs Turf Maiden $22,500
#1 DEVISE- Four-year-old Smart Strike colt looks ready to win first-time out. Has 10 works since December, including bullet moves sprinting on the sod.
#9 FACTION CAT- Likes to run second, tries turf today. Centeno gets on for Blair, 33% winners together.
#8 DUBINI- Four-year-old Gio Ponti gelding might come out running. Been training locally since January. Blew out 3 furlongs in 35.4 on 3/12.
RACE 11 6 Furlongs Claiming $5,000 NW2 6m
#6 KITCHEN POLICE- Appears to be sitting on a huge effort. Has best last-race fig. Bullet works over the Oldsmar oval on 3/5 and 3/12. Ron Allen Jr. returns.
#1 ISLAND DUDE- Makes first start for new conditioner Julie Robillard, scores at 29% after a claim.
#3 SEA TREATY- Got the place this level last time, Centeno stays aboard.
BOB’S BEST BET- RACE 11 #6 KITCHEN POLICE
TAMPA BAY DOWNS SELECTIONS
SATURDAY March 11, 2017
By BOB BAUER
RACE 1 8 ½ Furlongs Clm. $5,000 NW2 6m
#1 FINANCIAL FREEDOM- Makes first start for Maria Bowersock (26% wins after a claim). Go-to rider Ron Allen Jr. on, inside speed helps.
#5 TO the STARS- In top form now for Rigattieri-Bocachica combo, scoring at 38% together.
#8 TEMPIETTO- Improved in last race, 1st try this level. Ward and Ferrer winning at 56% this season.
RACE 2 6 ½ Furlongs Handicap $38,500
#3 SPANISH CONCERT- Hard-hitting mare bested stakes foes last time. Should handle these.
#7 LITTLE CHERIE- A stout closer, could benefit from hot pace. Beat top choice at 7 panels.
#1 ROYAL JEWELY- Appears to be in fine fettle for top trainer Gerald Bennett.
RACE 3 6 ½ Furlongs Maiden $27,500
#3 EXCLUSIVE PACKAGE- Looks best of those who have raced. Shows 8 works since January 1.
#5 ROAD GUARD POST- Well-bred colt training well for debut with hot barn (45% this season with first-timers). Top jock Centeno on.
#4 TIZK TIZK- Speedy gelding has had rough starts last pair, still got place. Gets blinkers on, first time today, should help.
RACE 4 7 Furlongs Opt. Clm. $75,000 NW1X
#2 THE COOKIE MAN- Boasts a perfect 3 for 3 record in Tampa. Has an edge here.
#3 EGYPTIAN HERO- Comes back after an impressive (4 length) local win. Pletcher and Johnny V.
#5 INKSPIRED- Should be ready to roll for Dale Bennett after 4-month vacation.
RACE 5 7 Furlongs Clm. $8,000 NW2L
#6 RUNNING ON GUINNES- Woke up last race for new connections. Ron Allen Jr. retains the mount.
#1 MARQUETEER- The only one here with a victory at this distance.
#4 RATTLESDEN- Has been close lately, Bocachica back on.
RACE 6 8 1/2 Furlongs Turf Opt. Clm. $32,000
#5 AQUAPHOBIA- Has 10 works for comeback, last 3 are bullets. Delacour and Centeno win at 27%.
#10 GOLD SHIELD- Put in a dozen drills for Mc Gaughey, appears ready. Both lifetime wins came with Johnny V. aboard.
#4 LEWIS VALE- A speedy threat, Ortiz Jr. rides for Larry Rivelli (2 for 2 together).
RACE 7 8 Furlongs Turf COLUMBIA STAKES $75,000
#5 TIZ a SLAM- Woodbine shipper looks tough here, has won 3 of 4. Only loss was vs. Grade II company.
#4 PROFITEER- Might be a lawn mower for Shug.
#7 BIRD’S EYE VIEW- Gave a good account of himself running third in graded events in Saratoga and Keenland. Comes off 5-month break with 6 local works. Dini and Bocachica win 24% together.
RACE 8 8 ½ Furlongs CHALLENGER STAKES $100,000
#2 STANFORD- Might take some beating, has best figs. Gets blinkers on for Pletcher (21% winners).
#6 IDOLO PORTENO- Runs well fresh, has 11 local works. Centeno rides.
#5 ADIRONDACK KING- Was good in last race at Aqueduct, sharp now. Won this last year.
RACE 9 8 ½ Furlongs Turf FLORIDA OAKS GRADE III $200,000
#5 La CORONEL- The only graded stakes winner in this field.
#3 DYNATAIL-Has dangerous early foot, 2 for 2 on Tampa Turf.
#9 COMPELLED-Always in the money for Proctor (37% winners this season).
RACE 10 9 Furlongs Turf HILLSBOURGH STAKES GRADE II $200,000
#9 MY IMPRESSION- Is 5 for 9 on the lawn, 1 for 1 in Tampa. All wins came with today’s connections, Shug Mc Gaughey and Jose Ortiz. Distance suits late pace ability.
#6 ISABELLA SINGS- The one to catch, almost stole this last year. Has yet to win at this route.
#3 DICKINSON- Loves grass (3 for 4). Could take it all. Paco Lopez rides for Kiaran Mc Laughlin, 43% winners when they team up.
RACE 11 8 ½ Furlongs TAMPA BAY DERBY GRADE II $350,000
#5 TAPWRIT-Was second to a record-breaker in local prep race. Pletcher has won this event in 3 out of 4 years.
#6 BEASLEY- Has been training like a champ at Gulfstream for Mark Hennig. May be sitting on a huge effort today.
#4 NO DOZING- Tries to make amends after dull try in the Sam Davis stakes. Good works for top local jock Centeno and veteran trainer Delacour.
RACE 12 6 Furlongs Maiden $27,500
#9 BOUDICEA’S REVENGE- Gets blinkers on and turns back after running a good second over track.
#10 MISTRESS OFTHEDARK- Back sprinting on dirt, might surprise here.
#5 RUNTOPERFECTION- Makes first lifetime start for the top-ranked Gerald Bennett stable, wins 22% with this kind.
BOB’S BEST BET-RACE 4 #2 THE COOKIE MAN
Saturday, March 4, 2017
By Bob Bauer
RACE 1 8 ½ Furlongs Clm. $6250
#2 CANDY WAR- Moves up for Justin Johns (39% winners repeating) after nice 2 turn win.
#5 CITIZEN JANE- Has been second this level and distance. Morales on, wins 35% for Dale Bennett.
#6 MOONSTONE BEACH- Won last, back in form now. Could take another.
RACE 2 6 ½ Furlongs Mdn. Clm. $25,000
#5 JANE’S PRIDE-Woke up last time vs. $40k runners. Ran big this level last season with De La Cruz on, he returns today.
#1 TIZ SHOPPING-Drops into a claimer for the first time for smart (Bill Bradley 21%) barn. Has been away for 232 days.
#3 GOLDRUSHCAT-Should hit the board, gets new pilot.
RACE 3 6 ½ Furlongs Opt. Clm. $12,500
#3 INDIAN CHASER-Turns back from pair of 7 panel wins vs. similar. Six-year-old mare likes Tampa and Ron Allen Jr.
#5 TANGO LIMA-Has won 5 straight, 6 for 9 lifetime. Tries this distance for the first time.
#2 AWFULLY SINFUL- Switches from grass to dirt for Michael Wright, who wins at 33% with this move.
RACE 4 8 ½ Furlongs Clm. $8,000 NW2L
#5 TICKET to FAME- Earned good speed and late pace figs last race. Should get hot pace to run at.
#4 CABILDO- Early pace factor, dangerous if allowed to get loose.
#6 WEST SHORE DRIVE- Capable of better, only one here with a victory at this route.
RACE 5 Mile 40 yd. Clm. $5,000 NW1 6m
#3 ISLAND DUDE- Should get the job done for Kathleen O’Connell, on the improve now.
#2 TO the STARS- Going well for Bocachica and Rigattieri, 29% wins together.
#7 TIGER D- Might surprise these. Ran behind top choice.
RACE 6 8 Furlongs Turf Clm. $16,000
#2 JOE STAR-Ships from Gulfstream for George Weaver, 2 for 2 at Tampa this season. Looks fastest here.
#7 FAN BASE-Makes second start for the powerful Dale Bennett barn, 35% with Morales in the irons.
#4 EAST BAY LODGE-Has faced better in the past, upset chance.
RACE 7 7 Furlongs Opt. Clm. $75,000 NW1X
#7 JUMBY BAY- Had a pair of local stakes placings for Pletcher, 35% at Tampa this season. Veteran jock Castanon retains the mount.
#5 LANEY-Beat $50k types this distance at Gulfstream, first time blinkers. Turned best lifetime fig, there may be more to come with this one.
#2 TERESA Z-Was impressive in local Maiden Special win in late December. 5 works since, Centeno on.
RACE 8 Mile 40yd Mdn. $22,500
#5 UPPER ROOM-Has 9 local works for Delacour after a 111-day break. Wins with Centeno at 23% rate.
#4 FINAL COPY-Improvement expected after dull debut. Roger Attfield wins with 31% of horses in their second attempt at a route.
#6 COMMANDER’S CASTLE- First-timer for Chris Block has a half-dozen works over the Oldsmar oval. Wins at 25% with Morales aboard.
RACE 9 8 Furlongs Turf Mdn. $22,500
#4 SECEDE-Comes off 177-day vacation for Christophe Clement, gets first Lasix. Trainer wins 28% under these circumstances.
#5 REALISM-Was ok in first effort after 6 month break. Blinkers on today for Mott, 17% success.
#8 FEAR NO EVIL- May be a live longshot for Tom Albertrani, 2 for 3 at Tampa this season.
RACE 10 8 ½ Furlongs Turf Alw. $25,000 NW1X
#9 AL HAYYAH- European filly should boss these for Clement, wins with 26% of shippers to the U.S.
#6 ASSEMBLEY- Was good in Miami, tries local lawn. Mott-De La Cruz win at 20% together.
#4 LADY EKATI- Might take some catching, Gary Boulanger rides for Roger Attfield.
RACE 11 7 Furlongs Mdn. Clm. $8,000
#3 AWESOME RELIC- Lightly raced gelding has his claiming tag cut ½ and goes back to the main track. Ran ok in a pair of dirt efforts at 6 ½ furlongs last season.
#6 MY COUSIN CHARLIE-Comes back in 8 days, best race was on dirt. A contender here.
#7 RAHRAHRAH-Drops into claiming company for the first time. Has been away over 500 days.
BOB’S BEST BET-RACE 10 #9 AL HAYYAH
Saturday Feb. 25, 2017
RACE 1 6 Furlongs Opt. Clm. $32,000
#6 ASHLEYS MAGENS BAY- Beat $50K maidens last time, 2 good works since. Centeno stays.
#3 FERGIELICOUS-Speedy filly makes first start for Aldana Gonzalez, wins with 16% of new stock.
#4 HISTORICAL TABLET- Drops from pair of artificial surface stakes attempts, tries dirt. Ok local works.
RACE 2 8 ½ Furlongs Clm. $5,000 NW1 6m
#4 RED LETTER- Was the beaten favorite last race, a threat at this level. Needs a good start.
#5 BRAZYN APPEAL- Was claimed by Potts, 28% winners 1st race after a claim.
#1 MISS POW WOW- Will be moving late, likes the distance.
RACE 3 5 ½ Furlongs Clm. $10,000
#4 INASWAGGER- Was claimed back by leading trainer Gerald Bennett.
#5 SANDRO- Going well this season, will be on the pace. Turn-back helps.
#7 FANCY MAN- A new gelding, has good late pace. Might nail the speed.
RACE 4 6 Furlongs Mdn. $22,500
#7 JAGR- Uncle Mo firster working well for Anthony Margotta, currently winning at 56% with first time starters.
#3 VOLCANO- Pletcher pupil has 11 works for debut, barn scores at 37% in Tampa this season.
#1 OUR TWIST of FATE- Has faced stakes company, should improve here.
RACE 5 7 Furlongs Clm. $5,000 NW2 6m
#7 BIG AWESOME- Won first try at this level. Larry Rivelli repeats with 22% of claiming winners.
#9 SUPREME JUSTICE- Victorious last time vs. similar. Would be no surprise.
#2 MY BROWN EYED GUY- Just missed last race, sharp now.
RACE 6 8 Furlongs Turf Mdn. Clm. $16,000
#6 CONGRELLA- Drops in for able trainer Reid Nagle. Has early pace, likes grass.
#1 STORMY BAY- Has shown improvement with Butler aboard. Stifano stable overdue for a win.
#9 QUEENDESANIMAUX- Fits with these, Jason DaCosta scores at 22% with runners making their third start after a layoff.
RACE 7 6 Furlongs Mdn. $22,500
#1 SHE IS a COVERGIRL- Steady works for top trainer Gerald Bennett, wins 22% with first-timers. Top jock Centeno has the call.
#2 ZIA JOSIE- Well-bred Tiznow filly from good barn might be live. Margotta outfit boasts solid R. O. I. of $4.90 with Maiden runners making their debut.
#3 MANDOLIN- Midnite Lute lass has an even dozen works for the always dangerous Proctor stable. They win at a 47% clip with Ron Allen Jr. in the irons.
RACE 8 9 Furlongs Turf Alw. $22,500 NW1X
#2 MAP ROOM-Might be the one to beat, has earned good turf figs back to back over the course. Proctor’s favorite rider, Ron Allen Jr. is on.
#8 HARDLY HOME-Should relish the distance, second time blinkers on for Mc Gaughey. Castanon rides, wins at 43% for Shug.
#9 CITE- Was a good second in first try on local lawn for Bill Mott. Has won at this route and could take it all.
RACE 9 6.5 Furlongs Mdn. Clm. $16,00
#7 HOLA PRINCESS- Can graduate with a repeat of last effort.
#6 BOXING BETTY- Ships in from Miami for O’Connell, Ron Allen Jr. gets the mount.
#1 MYSTIQUE ARTISTE- Blinkers off, David Hinsley wins at 33% with this move. Was only ½ length behind top choice, may be coming into form.
RACE 10 8 Furlongs Turf Clm. $16,000 NW2L
#5- KITTEN DANCE- Woke up last race, Ferrer rides again.
#3- ARCHARELLA- Drops into first claiming race for Pecoraro, after 491 day vacation.
#2- JUSTADARLING- Has shown early foot in the past sprinting. Could be tough if able to get loose early.
BOB’S BEST BET-RACE 6 #6 CONGRELLA
By Bob Bauer
RACE 1 7 Furlongs Clm. $5,000 NW1 6m
#4 SUPREME JUSTICE- Appears to be in a good spot here. Feliciano wins at 30% when turning back from a route to a sprint.
#1 KODIAK KODY-Makes first start for Teresa Connelly, who wins with 21% of new stock.
#5 KITCHEN POLICE- Ron Allen Jr. on for Randy Rarick, first time after a claim.
RACE 2 9 Furlongs Turf Starter Hcp. $16,000
#5 DIAZ- Very sharp now, won last race despite trouble. Centeno stays on.
#8 FOXHALL DRIVE-2 for 2 this distance. Ness-Gonzalez combo clicking at 40%.
#2 CALVADOS- Will be moving late, distance helps.
RACE 3 Mile 40yd Clm. $5,000 NW2 6m
#5 CHINA PRINCE- Gets top fig off win in last race. The one to beat.
#2 I CAT-Going well for Joan Scott, 22% winners this season.
#6 MY PRINCE-Woke up in last race, this distance.
RACE 4 8 ½ Furlongs Turf Mdn. Clm. $40,000
#7 RICH TRADITION-Improved with blinkers, goes up in tag price. A sign of trainer confidence.
#2 EYEING VICTORY-A new gelding, steady works for Graham Motion after 409 day layoff.
#6 ASSERTION-Is better than he looks on paper. Could be an upsetter.
RACE 5 6 ½ Furlongs Mdn. Clm. $8,000
#9 INDIO NATIVO-Lightly raced colt ran best race so far last out. Ferrer stays on.
#4 IRON RUN-Makes second start for Dale Bennett who wins at 54% with Pedro Morales.
#1 RAHRAHRAH-Has back class, been away 489 days. 9 local works since December.
RACE 6 8 Furlongs Turf Clm. $16,000 NW2L
#10 FABOURG MARIGNY- Likes Tampa lawn, 1 win, 1 place in 2 trips.
#2 LIGHTNING FLASH- Moves up off key race win over course.
#4 NOBODYDANCESSOBER- Suspicious shipper, watch tote board.
RACE 7 Mile 40yd Opt. Clm. $16,000 NW1X
#1 LONGWING LILY- Stretches out for Proctor and Castenon after good debut victory.
#6 RED RIVER HEIDI- Might have an edge with these, faces easiest company yet.
#4 CARELLA- Ran ok 1st try on local dirt. Centeno back on after decent Gulfstream turf effort.
RACE 8 6 Furlongs MINARET STAKES $50,000
#1 MINES and MAGIC-Runs well fresh for good barn. Low profile Oliver outfit wins with rider Tyler Pizaro at a 25% rate.
#3 SOUTHERN RING- Speedy mare races on dirt for the first time. 3 works on main track since last race, bullet work on 2/10 .48 flat.
#2 YOU BOUGHT HER- 4 wins in 6 tries in Tampa. Centeno on. Might be a tough customer.
RACE 9 7 Furlongs Mdn. $22,500
#11 LET’SLEAVEITATTHAT-Well-bred firster has worked a dozen times since November. Looks ready for Pletcher.
#9 BOUDICEA’S REVENGE-Earned good sprint fig at Keenland, turns back after showing early speed on the weeds.
#4 SPRING MIST-Came to life last race around two turns. Tries 7 panels again.
RACE 10 6 Furlongs PELICAN STAKES $100,000
#8 FUTILE- In rare form now for Delacour and Centeno, winning at 23%.
#2 SCHIVARELLI-Has graded Stakes experience, don’t ignore here.
#5 TIGER BLOOD-Figures bang-up, will be in the fray.
RACE 11 6 Furlongs Clm. $8,000 NW2L
#5 OPEN BOOK- Claiming tag cut ½. Should be leading early.
#4 SEVENTYSEVENWILOW-Has had many chances, should hit the board.
#7 GREAT HARBOR CAY-Blinkers off for Jamie Ness (32% winners) Might surprise
BOB’S BEST BET- RACE 6 #10 FABOURG MARIGNY
RACE 1 6 ½ Furlongs Opt. Clm. $75,000 NW1X
#5 ALUM- Shipper appears to be in a good spot here. Johnny V. rides for Pletcher (35% winners)
#6 TRIUMPHANT JOY- New gelding from top (23%) barn might be ready for a big effort. Turned in a bullet work on Feb. 1, getting 4 panels in .48 flat.
#4 IS EVERYBODY HAPPY- Ron Allen Jr. on for Tom Proctor, scoring at 58% together.
RACE 2 6 ½ Furlongs Clm. $8,000 NW3L
#4 BIG SILVER HOSS- Leading trainer Gerald Bennett cuts the claiming price ½.
#5 HONEST FIGHT- In good form after beating lesser, R. Allen Jr. stays aboard.
#8 BABY UE- Has been close with these, not out of this.
RACE 3 7 Furlongs Clm. $8,000 NW3L
#3 BABYRAE- Might prove best in weak field.
#1 GERMAINE’S ROSE- Should like 7 furlongs.
#7 DIAMOND TOUR- Beat maidens last time, could repeat.
RACE 4 6 ½ Furlongs Clm. $5,000 NW1 6m.
#9 WILD WINTER- Can nail the speed, should benefit from expected early hot pace.
#10 ONE for DON- Sharp now for the powerful (30%) Ness barn.
#4 GINTRAKER- Beat this kind two back, ignore dull last race. Ron Allen Jr. in the irons for the first time.
RACE 5 8 ½ Furlongs Turf Mdn. $22,500
#4 PINCHBECK- Had a rough trip in Tampa Turf bow, gets first Lasix. Christophe Clement wins with 29% of runners on their second try on the green.
#1 NO CATS ALLOWED- Well bred first timer has had a dozen works in Oldsmar and is in the hands of the red hot Proctor and Allen (58%) team.
#10 A La LUNA- Gets blinkers and Centeno on for Delacour.
RACE 6 7 Furlongs Mdn. $22,500
#10 EGYPTIAN HERO- Ships in from Gulfstream for Pletcher. Gets Johnny V.
#6 TICKER TAPE PARADE- Has been training like a champ, 3 bullet works in 12 days for Proctor.
#7 MICOZZI- Has faced better, has best figs. Fits in here.
RACE 7 8 Furlongs Turf Alw. $22,500 NW1X
#3 STREET STRUT- Moves up after handy maiden victory over course. Fernando De La Cruz stays on for Bill Mott.
#5 TOCCO- Earned top fig here vs. maidens. Velasquez rides for Proctor.
#8 WIDTH- Has shown early foot on the lawn, could be hard to run down if loose on the lead.
RACE 8 1 Mile 40yd. SUNCOAST STAKES $100,000
#3 TAPA TAPA TAPA- Has been freshened 4 months following a pair of Graded Stakes tries. Gets blinkers on, has 5 works over the track, including bullet moves on Jan. 12 and 19.
#8 ELATE- Was an impressive first out winner at Aqueduct. Winning jock Jose Ortiz ships in to ride for Bill Mott.
#7 PARTY BOAT- 3 for 6 lifetime. Graham Motion puts Velazquez on. Might be a tough customer.
RACE 9 8 ½ Furlongs Turf TAMPA BAY STAKES GRADE 3 $150,000
#3 KASAQUI-Classy Graded Stakes winner looks to be ready for this. Has a dozen local works including a bullet 47.3 on Feb.7.
#6 CATAPULT-Hard knocking Chad Brown charge may be a handful here. Jose Ortiz who guided the colt to his maiden win on the Belmont sod, is back on.
#9 COCO MON- Has top turf figs, gets leading rider Centeno.
RACE 10 8 1/2 Furlongs SAM F. DAVIS GRADE 3 $250,000
#8 McCRAKEN- Perfect 3 for 3 record. Grade 2 winner. Regular rider Brian Hernandez gets a leg up from Ian Wilkes. The one to beat.
#3 FACT FINDING – Also Undefeated, this one steps up to Graded Stakes company and would be no surprise if the top choice falters. Johnny V. and Pletcher.
#9 NO DOZING – Might be this good. Centeno rides for Delacour (29%).
RACE 11 8 ½ Furlongs Turf ENDEVOUR STAKES GRADE 3 $150,000
#5 ISABELLA SINGS-Has dangerous early speed, might take some catching.
#1 LIGHT IN PARIS-Won local prep for this. Centeno up for Chad Brown.
#7 JOSDESANIMAUX-Was a good second on Tampa grass last year after a break. This 5 year-old mare comes off a similar freshening and could run big for veteran trainer Ralph Nicks, who took over last October.
RACE 12 7 Furlongs Mdn. Clm. $16,000
#8 HOLA PRINCESS-Throw out last race on turf. Should run well back on dirt.
#3 CARAMEL MOON- Firster, has good works for Larry Rivelli (27%)
#4 MISS HIGH TIDE-Woke up last race for top trainer Gerald Bennett.
BOB’S BEST BET RACE 11 #5 ISABELLA SINGS
Tampa Bay Downs Selections
Saturday Feb. 4, 2017
By Bob Bauer
Each Saturday, veteran racing writer and handicapper Bob Bauer makes his selections for Tampa Bay Downs.
For each race, Bob makes a pick for Win, Place and Show. We are tracking his win bets—based on a mental bet of $2 on each Win pick and their payoffs.
Through two Saturdays, Bob has picked eight winners in 21 races. Their combined payoffs have been $37.40 on $42 in wagers.
RACE 1 8 ½ Furlongs Clm. $6250
#6 W W CONCERTO- Claimed by Justin Johns (23%). Sharp now. Likes distance. Ron Allen Jr. on.
#5 FATHER DENNIS- Makes first start for Angel Rodriguez (32% after a claim). Will be closing.
#4 TINITUS- Moves to lowest level yet, gets back on dirt. Could surprise.
RACE 2 6 Furlongs Mdn. Clm. $50,000
#1 DONNA’S DREAM- Speedy, turns back, in for a tag 1st time.
#4 ENDLESS THYME- Tried better in Kentucky. Trainer Jordan Blair wins at a 29% clip with shippers.
#6 ASHLEY MAGENS BAY- Was ok in debut, despite slow start. Centeno stays aboard.
RACE 3 7 Furlongs Mdn. Clm. $8,000
#9 DOLLY MAE- Was a good second at this level and distance, last race.
#8 MY FIRST HONEY- Has been close lately, comes from top barn.
#4 DIVING CHANGE- Comes off the lawn, claiming price cut ½. Dale Bennett and Pablo Morales win at 43% when they team up.
RACE 4 Mile 40yd Clm. $8,000 NW2L
#7 NORTH MOUNTAIN- Might have need last race. Improvement expected.
#4 KRZ PRINCESS- Placed last pair in Tampa, likes route. Would be no surprise.
#10 GET a ROOM- Will be coming late, not out of this.
RACE 5 Mile 40yd Mdn. Clm. $16,000
#1 OLA YOLA- Ships in for smart barn. Efrin Loza wins with 32% with this move.
#3 BELLA LOCO- Didn’t like artificial track at Woodbine. Tries dirt for the first time, Ron Allen Jr. rides.
#7 C M VICTORIA ROSE- Lightly raced longshot, been working well. Stretches out here.
RACE 6 8 Furlongs Turf Clm. $16,000
#4 ELECTRO PEG- Woke in last at Gulfstream. Gets new trainer, Teresa Connelly wins at 21% with new runners.
#10 ZOU ZOU- Moves up after win vs. NW3L. Centeno stays on.
#1 D’wild KISS- Turf loving speedster steps up and stretches out after a pair of victories against lesser. A question of distance.
RACE 7 7 Furlongs Clm. $8,000 NW2L
#5 SUPERMANS CAPE- Drops 2 levels after nice maiden win. Conditioner Larry Rivelli scores at 33% on this maneuver.
#8 STRING PUPPET- Just missed this distance last time. Likes to run second.
#3 VERY TRICKY- Possible live longshot. Throw out last race.
RACE 8 8 Furlongs Turf Alw. $22,500 NW1X
#8 HARDLY HOME- Blinkers on for Shug McGaughey, 43% winners at Tampa this season.
#5 CITE- Ships in for Mott. Figs ok. Top jock Centeno in the irons.
#10 TETHER to REALITY- Tries Tampa lawn after sharp maiden win. Could be the one to catch.
RACE 9 6 Furlongs Mdn. Clm. $16,000
#6 ITALIAN LEMONADE- 2 for 3 in the money in Oldsmar. Blinkers back on.
#2 BITOMAGIC- Didn’t like last race on the weeds. Can compete here back on dirt.
#8 BROOKSIDE- Could upset at a huge price.
RACE 10 8 Furlongs Turf Clm. $16,000
#2 OCALA JIM- In good form now. Just claimed by the Johns outfit, 23% winners after a claim.
#5 ALLIE’S EVENT-11 year-old gelding drops to lowest level, runs big fresh, loves Tampa.
#10 HELM- Just missed first try on Tampa grass for powerful Ness stable. 31% winners this season.
BOB’S BEST BET- RACE 7 #5 SUPERMANS CAPE
TAMPA BAY DOWNS
By Bob Bauer
RACE 1– 7 FURLONGS CLM $6250
#3 CANDY WAR- Drops to lowest level for smart (45%) barn, second try after claim.
#4 EXTREME EXCESS- Has been going well lately, been close last 3. Likes to run second.
#7 HIGH HEEL LADY- Earned top fig last time, beating NW3L types. Now moves up in good form working a bullet 36.2 on Jan. 26.
RACE 2 – 6 FURLONGS MDN CLM $25,000
#6 RUMBLE- New Gelding from the Delacour (26%) outfit faces Maiden Claimers for the first time.
#4 GOLDEN DIAMOND- Just missed last time at 7 panels, turnback should help.
#3 SOPHISTICATION- Makes second start after dull debut for top trainer Gerald Bennett. Might improve here.
RACE 3– 7 FURLONGS OPTIONAL CLM $16,000
#2 PERSNICKITY- Makes second start after being claimed by Jamie Ness. Former multi-year leading trainer scores at 43% with Edwin Gonzalez in the irons.
#3 DROP DEAD RED- Has faced better in the past, makes Tampa bow off 4 local works. Blinkers off.
#6 SERVED COLD- Placed in his last race at this distance. Comes back in 8 days.
RACE 4 – 8 ½ FURLONGS CLM $8,000 NW2L
#5 WEST SHORE DRIVE- Woke up last race, Centeno gets on for Chad Stewart. So far, they are winning at a 60% clip this season.
#8 ENGLISH TOWN- Managed to get second in local debut, despite a bad start. Could be a contender here.
#6 SUN BROWN- Lightly Raced, has ok figs. Seems to like the distance.
RACE 5– 8 1/2 FURLONGS TURF CLM $16,000
#9 LIGHTHOUSE SOUND- Looks best of these, 4 for 8 on Tamps grass. Centeno on.
#1 MINI COSMO- Comes off a 48 day break for Derek Ryan, turned in bullet 48 flat work on Jan 15. Hot jockey Ron Allen Jr. has the mount.
#7 CALICO KITTEN- Has dangerous early speed. Might get loose here.
RACE 6– 6 1/2 FURLONGS MAIDEN $22,500
#5 GULF VIEW- Well bred filly might prove best in wide-open affair. Centeno up for Shug McGaughey.
#3 FASHION RUNWAY- Kentucky Shipper might be better than he looks on paper. Trainer Bill Bradley and past leading rider Willie Martinez are winning at a 29% rate when they team up.
#1 PANGI- Might surprise here. Has good sire and dam turf numbers. 3 ok local dirt works.
RACE 7– 6 FURLONGS OPTIONAL CLM $12,500
#7 PETEIZUM- The one to catch, won last time at this level and distance. Ness-Gonzalez 43% winners at Tampa this season.
#4 MEDIA TIME- Sharp now for Dale Bennett. Bullet work Jan 21, 48 flat. Centeno on
#2 GROSERO- Longshot shipper, likes Tampa dirt. 3 wins, 1 place in 5 trips over the Oldsmar oval.
RACE 8– 8 FURLONGS TURF MDN CLM $25,000
#3 SUMMER CASTLE- Drops in for a tag. Leading rider Centeno on.
#8 AWESOME RELIC- Lightly raced Gulfstream shipper ran an ok second, first time on the weeds. Victor Lebron rides for Ian Hemingway.
#5 BLUE HUMOR- Speedy shipper has turf on both sides. Could wire these if able to get an easy lead.
RACE 9– 8 FURLONGS TURF OPTIONAL CLM $75,000 NW1X
#4 MUSICAL AMERICA- Should be a tough customer in here, based on his impressive maiden victory. Centeno-Delacour clicking at 29% now.
#10 MY BARILEY- Just missed last race at this level. Now has 1 win, 1 place on the local lawn. Turn back should help.
#5 HOT and HEAVY- Early speedster from the Pecoraro stable gets blinkers on for the first time. This veteran trainer wins 30% off this move.
RACE 10 5 1/2 FURLONGS CLM $5,000 NW1 6m
#3 HAYWIRED- Looks ready for a good effort, this one runs well fresh and has 4 local works.
#10 DOINMYSONGNDANCE- Has been facing better company lately, won last time at this level. Trainer Tim Padilla wins at 37% when dropping a runner 2 levels.
#5 KITCHEN POLICE- Fits with these, should hit the board.
BOB’S BEST BET- RACE 5 #9 LIGHTHOUSE SOUND
Handicapper Bauer Starts with Six-Win Day
HorseRacingFLA Staff Report
Bob Bauer picked six winners in the eleven races at Tampa Bay Downs on Saturday, his first day as handicapper for HorseRacingFLA.
Bob is a veteran handicapper, a former racing writer for the St. Petersburg Times and a former publicist at Tampa Bay Downs.
Every Saturday, we publish Bob’s selections for Win, Place and Show in each race at Tampa Bay Downs.
We are tracking his picks to win, assuming a $2 Win bet in each race.
This past Saturday, Bob’s recommended $22 in bets would have paid $26.80. That is a 22 percent return on investment.
Here are Bob’s winners for Saturday Jan. 21. Program numbers are in parentheses followed by $2 win price.
First Race – Sonoma Crush (4) $2.60
Fourth Race – I Cat (10) $7.20
Fifth Race – Chesapeake Spring (11) $4.00
Ninth Race – R Angel Katelyn (7) $4.00
Tenth Race – Earring (4) $2.60
Eleventh Race – Tiz Samurai (5) $6.40
All six of those winners were the favorites.
Starting this Saturday Jan. 28, HorseRacingFLA editor Jim Freer will handicap each Saturday’s card at Gulfstream Park—with Win, Place, Show picks on each race.
Tampa Bay Downs Selections
Saturday Jan. 21, 2017
By Bob Bauer
RACE 1- 6 Furlongs Clm $16,000 NW3L
#4 Sonoma Crush- Drops into a condition claimer for the first time. Leading rider Centeno stays on after an easy win vs. optional claimers in December. A repeat would be no surprise.
#5 Tribal Drama- Another who runs for a first time tag, this one ran with $32,000 company last time and is a new gelding. Eligible to improve here.
#8 Big Silver Hoss-Turns back for top trainer Bennett after beating NW2L stock last time at 6 ½ furlongs. Bennett scores at 24% with claiming repeaters.
RACE 2- 7 Furlongs Clm $6250
#5 Inaswagger- Stretches out for the Bennett/Centeno combo clicking at 60% these days. Earned big fig over track.
#9 Money Tree- Turns back to distance and level of last win for Jamie Ness who wins 36% of the time when he rides Edwin Gonzalez.
#4 Unbridled Glow- Had a rough trip last time, Just missed at 7 panels 2 races back.
RACE 3- 7 Furlongs Pasco Stakes $100,000
#7 Chance of Luck-a perfect 2 for 2, won the Inaugural Stakes over this track. Appears to be the one to beat.
#1 Six Gun Salute- Throw out last race. Ran bang up sprint 2 back at Hawthorne. Should be coming late.
#2 Union Blues-Penn Maiden winner ships in, Centeno up for Delacour, 25% wins together.
RACE 4- 8 ½ Furlongs Cim $5,000 NW1 6m
#10- I Cat-Might be the one to catch in a weak field.
#3- Gills Terrace- Shipper could surprise in here.
#9-To The Stars- Has run ok with this kind, showed improvement last.
RACE 5- 6 Furlongs Clm $5,000 NW1 6m
#11 Chesapeake Song-Laurel shipper drops to lowest level for Ness. He wins at a 26% clip with new stock.
#3 Sheza Ruler-May have needed last race.
#10 Seeyouinthetown-Placed last two attempts vs. this kind.
RACE 6- 8 Furlongs Turf Mdn. $22,500
#2 Youngest Daughter-Has best fig over local lawn, despite trouble.
#1 Realism-Runs fresh for Bill Mott, winning at a 50% rate in Tampa this season.
#4 Gift Tax-Should be ready to debut for Christophe Clement. Tapit filly has had a dozen works of various kinds since October.
RACE 7- 8 ½ Furlongs Wayward Lass Stakes $50,000
#2 Pleasant Mine- Looks to be the fastest here. Likes the distance
#3 No Fault of Mine- Should take some beating. Centeno on, bullet work Jan. 14th.
#7 Royal Jewely-Sharp now for the powerful Bennett barn. Loves Tampa
RACE 8- 8 ½ Furlongs Turf Optional Clm. $32,000
#9 Dyna’s Recoleta- Ships in after good comeback race over Gulfstream lawn.
#2 Marmalade- Earned a big figure on Gulfstream grass, ships here in 5 days, could be a live longshot.
#1 Sequiota- Will be closing, Fernando De La Cruz on.
RACE 9- 7 Furlongs Gasparilla Stakes $100,000
#2 R Angel Katelyn- Stretches out for Gerald Bennett after taking the Sandpiper and is now 3 for 4 lifetime. She appears to be in fine fettle working a bullet 47 flat on Jan. 14.
#7 Livin a Dream- Moves up off a nice Maiden victory for Chad Stewart. Top jock Centeno stays. This one shows some late pace ability and be a closing threat.
#9 Jumby Bay- Ran second to the top choice in the Sandpiper. Local veteran Jesus Castanon is up for Todd Pletcher. This season, they are enjoying a 67% success rate so far.
RACE 10- 8 ½ Furlongs Allowance $22,500 NW1X
#4 Earring- Training steadily for local bow, has run well after two breaks lately. Tom Proctor will have Ron Allen Jr. in the irons. (40% win rate together). Drops from Grade 3 Stk.
#10 Vagabond- Ships in for Shug McGaughey (40% Tampa win rate). Merits respect here.
#8 More Than Kisses- Moves up after handy Maiden score. Centeno stays.
RACE 11- 5 ½ Furlongs Mdn. Clm. $16,000
#5 Tiz Samurai- Turns back for smart (Dale Bennett 42% winners) barn.
#6 Italian Lemonade- Ran ok here twice earlier his season, ships back from Gulfstream. Picks up 19% rider Edwin Gonzalez.
#8- Heaven’s Buzz- a first-time starter from Dale Bennett, has had 9 local workouts since November. Ron Allen Jr. has the mount and he is presently riding a hot streak in Oldsmar.
BOB’S BEST BET- Race 10, #4 Earring
Handicapper Bob Bauer Joins Our Staff
HorseRacingFLA is pleased to announce that veteran Florida racing writer and publicist Bob Bauer has joined us as staff handicapper and correspondent.
Starting this weekend, January 21-22, Bob will handicap each Saturday’s card at Tampa Bay Downs. He will give his picks for each race for Win, Place and Show with comments — along with his best bet of the day.
Bob’s picks can be found under the Handicapping tab on our home page.
Bob previously was the St. Petersburg Times racing writer and handicapper. He also served a stint as Tampa Bay Downs publicity director and on-air handicapper.
He also covered Tampa Bay Downs for Bloodstock Research Information Services (Brisnet) and for several years did a weekly article “Tampa Bay Downs Notebook,” which ran in the Brisnet on-line newspaper The Handicapper’s Edge.
Also starting this weekend, HorseRacingFLA editor Jim Freer will handicap each Saturday’s card at Gulfstream Park.
Jim will give his picks for each race for Win, Place and Show with comments—along with his best bet of the day.