Horses to Watch: Gulfstream, Thursday Sept. 3

HorseracingFLA Staff Report

Thursday, Sept. 3 – “Horses to Watch” will be a regular feature of HorseracingFLA.com.

We will focus on horses in several of a day’s races at Gulfstream Park, and later this year at Gulfstream  Park West (Calder) and Tampa Bay Downs.

We have given ourselves a  mythical  bankroll of $1,000 for  the remainder of Gulfstream’s summer meet,  which will  end on Oct. 3, and we will use it for selective mental  bets.

Five of today’s ten races are scheduled for the turf.  Conditions should start out fast and firm. But there is a 50 percent chance of thunderstorms from 3 p.m. to 5 p.m.

The turf course, which had been dry, benefited from the past weekend’s rains. One point of interest will be whether there is a continuation of the recent trend of speed not holding on the turf course.  On Saturday and Sunday, on the course listed  as good, horses coming from off the pace won eight of the nine turf races of 7 1/2 furlongs or longer.

* First Race — Polly My Love (3) missed by a neck at this same $12,500  claiming price  at a mile on turf Aug.15.  She stretches to 1 1/16 today. In the Aug. 15  race, Gold Celebrity  (1) rallied to be sixth in the 12-horse field. On the stretchout she could hit the board  at a price in her third start for trainer Kathleen O’Connell

$3 WPS Polly My Love (3)
$3 Show   Gold Celebrity (1)

*Fourth race — feature  $62,500 optional claimer for filly & mare sprinters has several win  threats,  including likely favorite Lemon  Point (4).  We’re going with the Marty Wolfson-trained  My Sweet  Dove (2).  She has been  third or better in all seven of her dirt starts (one win) at Gulfstream

$3 WPS My Sweet Dove      (2)
* Fifth race —  Southern  Stroll (3) looks like the class in this 7 1/2  furlong turf claimer for 3-YO and up and could be the best bet of the day.

$5  WPS Southern  Stroll  (3)

Trainer_DavidFawkes

Sixth  race — Joyous Affair (8)  from  the on-a-roll  David Fawkes barn,  is a deserving favorite in this juvenile fillies $50,000 maiden claimer.  My Sangria (5) by the hot first-year sire Gone Astray is a first-time starter that has turned in  some fast workouts and should hit the board.

The race has 11 entrants. For a $1 exacta box ($12 bet) we will use those two with D’ chief Source (6) who  is dropping from a stakes  and Leila’s Way (10) who was  third in her debut

$3  WPS Joyous Affair (8)

$3 Show My Sangria (5)

$1 exacta box – the four horses listed above

* Seventh race —  The consistent Cheyenne Nation (3)  dropping in  class  and  trained by Fawkes,  is our pick  in this  one-mile turf  claimer for 3-YO and up.

$3 WPS Cheyenne Nation

Total suggested bets — $69

 

 

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